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Indy Financia Watch: USA: L'Economia verso la recessione.
by sbancor Friday, Apr. 04, 2003 at 2:56 PM mail:

Gli indicatori dell'Economia Americana tornano in zona recessione. E il Dollaro potrà calare ancora.

Mentre la Borsa americana confonde "risiko" con "monopoli", andando su e giù a secondo di quanti km mancano da Baghdad, gli indicatori reali dell'economia USA crollano. I due principali indicatori di fiducia per il settore delle industrie e per quello dei servizi sono sotto il 50%, il che vuol dire recessione. Le richieste di sussidi aumentano: 445.000 il mese scorso. I capitali fuggono. Se mai vi sarà "un dopoguerra", cosa di cui mi permetto di dubitare, viste le possibilità di ampliamento del conflitto a Siria ed Iran, questo dovrà fare i conti con la recessione economica. Nonostante gli 80 miliardi di dollari stanziati per la guerra dal Congresso l'economia USA ancora non riparte, anzi, peggiora. E c'è chi come il chief economist della Goldman Sachs vede non irrealistico 'euro a 1,40 sul dollaro. Il che vuol dire che se l'Europa sperava di rilanciare il suo gracile aumento del PIL (+1%) con le esportazioni si sbaglia di grosso. I tedeschi dicono che la guerra gli rovina l'economia. Una cosa è certa: non sono queste "guerre di provincia" a poter rilanciare l'economia americana. E questo è un guaio. Se non funziona il "ciclo coreano" - negli anni '50 infatti la guerra di Corea salvò l'economia americana da una recessione - non si capisce cosa potrà tirare fuori gli States e l'economia mondiale dal ciclo recessivo. Forse sarebbe il caso che le "elites" facesero funzionare il cervello. Qualcuno dice però che vi è scarsità di neuroni nei "think tank" mondiali. Questo, infatti, sembra essere il secolo dei muscoli.

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okk
by durden Friday, Apr. 04, 2003 at 3:52 PM mail:

penso che il vantaggio che abbiamo noi, moltitudine precaria e resistente, sia proprio il fatto che il nemico abbia dalla propria parte gente come Brezinsky..Wolfowitz..Fukuyama.. yesmen funzionali alle dinamiche del Fondo Monetario Internazionale e della Banca Mondiale. La cosa positiva è che per fortuna loro non capiscono un cazzo.

Il problema da porsi è: come incidere realmente sulla catena decisionale per disarticolare il capitale che sostiene questa elite finanziaria aristocratica?

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Eh sì
by karlse Friday, Apr. 04, 2003 at 8:34 PM mail:

però dalla parte di voi moltitudini precarie e resistenti stanno i Negri, i Caminiti, le derive e gli approdi nonché una confusione bestiale in testa: e questo, ammettilo, un po' vi frega.

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Confuso
by non particolarmente amico di Negri Friday, Apr. 04, 2003 at 9:28 PM mail:

Non temiamo di guardare negli occhi la confusione, purchè il cervello funzioni, come può, ma funzioni.

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la confusione
by per niente amico di Negri Friday, Apr. 04, 2003 at 10:33 PM mail:

è uno status positivo

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Derive!Approdi?
by rossana Saturday, Apr. 05, 2003 at 12:28 AM mail:

e sì ammetto mi piace il caos e so che vi sono derive e vi sono approdi. Forse.


FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE: February 12, 2003

Highlights of the FY03 Consolidated
Budget Bill

Total Discretionary spending in the bill is $397.4 billion. It includes an across the board reduction of between .6% and .7% to offset additional discretionary funds in the bill. Head Start, the Space Shuttle program, VA Medical Care and WIC are excluded from the across the board.

Agriculture

· Animal and Plant Health Inspection Service activities are funded at $105 million above last year for a total of $726 million, which is a decrease of $41.6 million below the President’s request, due to centralized funding of GSA rental costs, and to maintaining the Secretary’s use of CCC transfers to combat emergency outbreaks.

· The Special Supplemental Nutrition Program for Women, Infants, and Children (WIC) is funded at $4.696 billion, an increase of $348 million above last year. The recommendation includes a $125 million reserve, as requested, should program costs or participation exceed estimates, as well as $25 million for the farmers’ market nutrition program.

· Food for Peace Program (PL 480) Title II is funded at a program level of $1.2 billion, which is an increase of $350 million above last year, and an increase of $15 million above the President’s request.

· Food and Drug Administration is funded at $1.391 billion, which is $22 million above last year and $13 million above the President’s request.

Commerce-Justice
Funding Levels:
FY02 Funding: $41.4 billion (including Supplementals)
FY03 President's Request: $41.8 billion
FY03 Funding: $41.3 billion

Provides a total of $24 billion for the Department of Justice, $296 million more than FY02 and $1.2 billion above the President's request, including the following:

· The Conference Report provides $3.5 billion in assistance to state and local First Responders. $2.4 billion in the Commerce-Justice section of the bill and $1.1 billion in the VA-HUD section.

· $4.298 billion for the Federal Bureau of Investigation, an increase of $773 million above last year’s non-emergency level, and $45 million above the request, to continue efforts to modernize the FBI IT infrastructure, and increase its counterterrorism and counterintelligence capabilities;

· $1.56 billion for the Drug Enforcement Administration, an increase of $79 million above FY 2002 and $15 million above the request to continue efforts to combat illegal drugs

· $6.159 billion for immigration enforcement activities. To strengthen our borders against terrorists and facilitate travel for legitimate travelers and workers, the bill fully funds the Entry Exit program, a comprehensive program to track the arrival and departure of non-U.S. citizens, and removes a funding prohibition on the National Security Entry Exit Registration System. Funds are also included to hire an additional 570 Border Patrol Agents, 460 land border Immigration Inspectors, and 760 additional airport and seaport inspectors and support personnel;

Department of Commerce and Related Agencies receives $5.6 billion, $117 million below last year and $54 million above President’s request including:

· $1.186 billion for the Patent and Trademark Office to help reduce the growing backlog in patent processing.

· $3.154 billion for the National Oceanic Atmospheric Administration (NOAA):

· $574 million for weather satellite systems;

· $760 million for the National Weather Service to ensure better weather forecasting, and $130 million for Pacific salmon recovery.

Federal Judiciary Provides $4.9 billion for the Federal Judiciary, $199 million over FY02 and $322 million below the request, to process an all-time high numbers of criminal and bankruptcy cases, an all-time high number of offenders under the supervision of a probation officers, continue funding for the long overdue renovation of the Supreme Court building, and fund the Judiciary’s security requirements.

State Department and the Broadcasting Board of Governors receives $7.9 billion, which is $262 million below FY02 and $239 million below the President's request.

· Includes $1.3 billion to continue worldwide security improvements and replacement of vulnerable embassies, the same amount included in the President’s request.

· Provides $3.8 billion for Diplomatic and Consular Programs to fund the operating costs of the Department, which is $145 million more than FY02 and $115 million less than President’s request.

Other Items of Interest:

· Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) is funded at $716 million, a $150 million increase over the President’s request and $227 million above last year’s level, for the Securities and Exchange Commission to protect investors from corporate abuse.

· Legal Services Corporation is funded at $338 million, $10 million above last year’s level and the President’s request.



Defense
The conference report includes $10 billion pursuant to requests from the White House, to support selected military and intelligence activities in support of the global war on terrorism.
Of this amount, $3,900,000,000 is for classified programs in support of the global war on terrorism and other critical anti-terrorism initiatives. The remaining $6,100,000,000 is for reimbursement of personnel and operational costs incurred during the first quarter of the current fiscal year by the Department of Defense as a result of activities related to the war on terrorism.

These funds are to be allocated as follows:
Military Personnel

The conference agreement includes $1,617,000,000 for active duty pay and allowances costs incurred from October through December 2002. This includes incremental cost increases in hostile fire pay, family separation allowances, hardship duty pay, subsistence and additional readiness/stop-loss personnel. Also covered are pay and allowances for the first quarter costs associated mobilized Reservists and National Guardsmen.

(In Thousands of Dollars)
Conference Amount

Military Personnel, Army
771,200

Military Personnel, Navy
213,800

Military Personnel, Marine Corps
68,600

Military Personnel, Air Force
563,400



Operation and Maintenance

The conference agreement includes $4,387,900,000 for operations costs incurred from October through December 2002. These include personnel support costs (temporary duty, clothing, personal equipment and supplies, medical support and services, and subsistence); operating tempo costs; and costs associated with the transportation of personnel, equipment, and material.

(In Thousands of Dollars)
Conference Amount

Operation and Maintenance, Army
1,210,000

Operation and Maintenance, Navy
378,300

Operation and Maintenance, Marine Corps
202,100

Operation and Maintenance, Air Force
1,686,300

Operation and Maintenance, Defense-Wide
911,200


Defense Health Program

The conference agreement includes $95,100,000 for the Defense Health Program, for the costs of replacement personnel to perform essential duties of deployed personnel.

Total Information Awareness
The conference report includes, with slight technical modifications, Section 111 of Division M of the Senate passed bill regarding the Department of Defense’s Total Information Awareness (TIA) program. The conference report allows the Administration, 90 days after the bill is enacted to submit a report to Congress on the TIA program, instead of 60 days as proposed by the Senate. The provision has also been modified to clarify that the TIA program may be deployed at operating bases in the United States to assist in the conduct of lawful U.S. foreign intelligence activities against non-United States citizens only.

District of Columbia
Federal Payment:
FY03 Bill: $512 million
FY03 Budget Request: $379 million
FY02 Funding: $608million
District Funds:
FY03 Bill: $7.4 billion
FY03 Request: $7.2 billion
FY02 Funding: $7.3 billion

Federal Funding:
(millions)
FY02 FY03 Request FY03 Bill

D.C. Resident Tuition Support
17.0
17.0
17.0

D.C. Courts including Family Courts
112.1
159.0
161.9

Defender Svcs. D.C. Courts – program level
34.3
32.0
33.5

D.C. Courts Services and Offender Supervision
147.2
154.7
154.7

Contribution for Security Planning
16.0
15.0
15.0

Contributions to the District of Columbia for Capital Development
0
0
10.2

Contribution to Special Education
0
0
3.0

Contribution to Anacostia Waterfront Initiative
0
0
5.0

Contribution to the Family Literacy Program
0
0
4.0

Contribution to the District of Columbia Water and Sewer Authority
0
0
50.0

Contribution for renovations of Public Charter Schools
0
0
17.0

Total:
608.0
379.0
512.0




Energy and Water
FUNDING LEVELS:

FY02 Enacted $25.305 billion
FY03 Request $25.876 billion
FY03 Conf Rpt $26.164 billion

CORPS OF ENGINEERS:
The conference report provides $4.63 billion which is $457 million over the President’s budget request and $28 million below fiscal year 2002.

BUREAU OF RECLAMATION:
The Conference Report provides $917 million for the Bureau of Reclamation, an increase of $72 million over the President’s request and $2 million above last year’s level.

DEPARTMENT OF ENERGY:
The recommendation of $20.9 billion for the Department of Energy is $8 million below the President’s request and $920 million above fiscal year 2002.

The conference agreement provides $422 million for renewable energy resources, an increase of $15 million over the budget request and $26 million above fiscal year 2002.

The conference agreement provides $261.7 million for nuclear energy, science and technology, an increase of $11.9 million over the budget request and $11.2 million above fiscal year 2002.

The conference agreement includes $3.3 billion for DOE Science programs, an increase of $26.4 million over the budget request and $72.8 million above fiscal year 2002.

The conference agreement includes a total of $460 million for nuclear waste disposal to develop the Yucca Mountain repository, a decrease of $130 million below the budget request and an increase of $85 million above fiscal year 2002.

The National Nuclear Security Administration (NNSA), which includes the nuclear weapons program, defense nuclear nonproliferation, naval reactors, and the Office of the Administrator for NNSA, is funded at $8.1 billion, an increase of $82 million over the budget request and $410 million more than fiscal year 2002.

Department of Energy environmental cleanup programs, including non-defense environmental management, uranium facilities maintenance and remediation, and defense environmental management, are funded at a total of $7.44 billion, a reduction of $3.5 million from the budget request and an increase of $310 million above fiscal year 2002.

The Power Marketing Administrations (Southeastern, Southwestern, and Western) are funded at $203.5 million, $6.1 million above the budget request and $4 million below fiscal year 2002. The conference agreement provides an additional $700 million of borrowing authority for the Bonneville Power Administration.

The conference agreement extends the Price-Anderson Act indemnification of Nuclear Regulatory Commission reactor licensees until December 31, 2003.

Foreign Operations
FY02 Enacted: $16.32 billion
FY03 President's Request: $16.47 billion
FY03 Conf Report: $16.3 billion
Major Priorities and Initiatives:

n Increases the Child Survival and Health Programs Fund $400 million over last year’s level. Total FY03 funding is $1.8 billion, which includes $120 million for UNICEF, the same as last year’s level.

n Provides a total of $800 million that can be used for HIV/AIDS most of which is within the Child Survival and Health Programs Fund.

n Despite the lack of a budget request from the Administration, the Conference Report provides $295 million in humanitarian assistance for Afghanistan.

n UNFPA—Maintains current law with an explicit assurance that no funds will be made available for the UNFPA if the President determines that the UNFPA supports or participates in the management of a program of coercive abortion or involuntary sterilization.

n The Export-Import Bank is funded at $568 million, $28 million below the President’s request.

n Total funding in the bill for reproductive health assistance is $465 million, the same as last year’s level.

n Total funding of the Agency for International Development (AID) is $4.3 billion, $333 million above the request and $639 million above FY02. Most of this increase is for HIV/AIDS and basic education.

n The Andean Counterdrug Initiative is funded at $700 million, $75 million above FY02 and $31 million below the President’s request.

n Fully funds the President's $2.1 billion request for Foreign Military Financing for Israel. Also fully funds the President's $600 million request for economic assistance to Israel.

n Fully funds the President's $1.3 billion request for Foreign Military Financing for Egypt, the same as FY02. Also fully funds the President's $615 million request for economic assistance to Egypt, $40 million below FY02.

n Fully funds the President's $198 million request for Foreign Military Financing for Jordan, $123 million above FY02. Also fully funds the President's request for $250 million for economic assistance to Jordan, $100 million above FY02.

n Assistance for the Independent States of the former Soviet Union is funded at $760 million, $24 million below last year’s level and $5 million above the President’s request.

Interior (click to view Conference detail table)
FY 2002 FY 2003 FY 2003
Enacted Request Recommended
19.2 19.5 19.1

Bill Highlights
Change from
2002 Enacted

$1.6 billion for National Park Operations
($78 million increase)

$452 million for National Wildlife Refuges &
wildlife programs
($53 million increase)

$931 million for Bureau of Land Management
Operations
($51 million increase)

$925 million for US Geological Survey
($11 million increase)

$1.4 billion for National Forest System
($31 million increase)

$2.9 billion for the Indian Health Service
($109 million increase)

$1.9 billion for BIA Operation of Indian
programs
($68 million increase)

$220 million for Payment in Lieu of Taxes
($10 million increase)

$270 million for Weatherization and State
Energy grants


$2.1 billion Wildland fire management


(plus and additional $825,000 - 2002
emergency suppression repayment)

$83 million for Everglades restoration


$315 million for Federal land acquisition


$98 million for Stateside land acquisition
grants


$116 million for the National Endowment for
the Arts


$126 million for the National Endowment for
the Humanities


Labor-HHS (click to view Conference detail table)
Bill Funding:
FY02 Bill: $127.6 billion
FY03 Budget Request: $130.9 billion
FY03 Conference Report: $130.9 billion ($421.6 billion including
mandatory spending)

Supporting Education While Prioritizing Resources:

n Total funding for the Department of Education is $53.1 billion, an increase of $3.1 billion over FY02 and the President’s Request.

n Title I–Educational assistance to needy and disadvantaged students through the Title I program is increased $1.4 billion bringing total funding to $11.75 billion.

n Special Education—Special Education State Grants are increased $1.4 billion over FY02 and $400 million over the President’s request.

n Pell Grants—The Department of Education is projecting a cumulative funding shortfall in the Pell Grant program that could be high as $ 2 billion due to larger-than-expected increases in eligible applicants to the program. The bill would pay down the funding shortfall by providing $576 million above the President’s request while increasing the maximum grant $4050.

n Head Start is increased $131 million over last year’s level and the same as the President’s request, bringing total FY03 funding to $6.667 billion.

Medical Research and Health Programs
n Continues our commitment to the National Institutes of Health by providing $27.2 billion, $3.8 billion more than last year, the largest program increase in the bill.

n Overall funding for the Centers for Disease Control is $4.3 billion, $288 million above the President’s request and $107 million below FY02.

n Increases the Ryan White Aids program $96 million over the President's request and FY02, total FY03 funding is $2 billion.

n Community Health Centers are funded at $1.5 billion, $171 million more than last year.

n Provides $1.7 billion for the formula grant portion of the Low Income Home Energy Assistance Program (LIHEAP), $300 million above the President’s request.

n Provides $55 million for discretionary abstinence education programs, an increase of $15 million over FY02.

n Total funding for the Department of Labor is $11.9 billion, $160 million below FY02 and $338 million above the President’s request.

Legislative Branch Spending:
FY02: $3.252 billion
FY03 Bill: $3.405 billion
FY03 Request: $3.358 billion
FY03 Legislative Branch Funding

Agency
FY02 (millions)
FY03

House of Reps.
920
960

Capitol Police
157
219

CBO
30.7
32.4

Architect of Capitol
384
341

Library of Congress
489
499

GPO
115.0
120

GAO
424
457


§ Includes language requiring the merger of the Library of Congress police force with the U.S. Capitol Police.

§ Includes language to explicitly authorize a tuition reimbursement program for House employees. The House Administration Committee must still develop rules and regulations to implement the program.

Transportation

v In total, the bill provides nearly $64.5 billion in total budgetary resources.

v Total highway spending amounts to $31.8 billion.

v The bill provides $1.05 billion for Amtrak’s capital needs. It includes significant reforms to improve Amtrak’s longterm financial condition. The reforms include:

Funding is provided to the Secretary of Transportation, who would make operating and capital grants to Amtrak, instead of providing the funds directly to Amtrak. This is intended to enhance the Secretary’s oversight of Amtrak.
A number of financial reporting requirements arre included, such as requiring Amtrak to develop capital and operating plans that must be provided to Congress and the Secretary of Transportation and be used as the base for expenditures in 2003. Funding may not be spent on projects not included on the business plan.
The Secretary shall approve funding for the operating losses on long distance trains after receiving and reviewing a grant request for each specific long distance train route. These decisions will be made after detailed financial information and revenue projections are provided.
The Secretary shall ensure that sufficient funds are set aside for the contractual obligations of Amtrak for commuter and intercity operations. This language is necessary in case Amtrak ceases service so that commuters can continue to operate.

v A total of $13.6 billion is provided to the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) -- $87 million over the fiscal year 2002 enacted level and $17 million above the request.

Ø FAA operations are funded at $7.07 billion, $8 million below the President’s request.

Ø Funding for the airport improvement program is $3.4 billion, an increase of $100 million over the fiscal year 2002 enacted level and the same as the President’s request.

v The bill provides $5.2 billion for the Transportation Security Administration for civil aviation security services, $166 million below the budget request and $662 million below last year’s level. Maritime and Land Security is funded at $245 million, an increase of $197 million over the budget request.

v A total of $6.1 billion is provided for the Coast Guard, an increase of $584 million over fiscal year 2002 enacted levels and $21 million above the budget request.

Treasury-Postal
FY02 Enacted $18.45 billion
FY03 Request $18.70 billion
FY03 Conference $18.33 billion

· Election Reform: Provides $1.5 billion to help the States meet new standards under the Help America Vote Act, including over $1.4 billion in direct assistance to the States for the improvement of administration, the buy-out of antiquated equipment, and new safeguards for voting rights. Also provides funding for programs to ensure disabled voter access and encourage youth to participate in the electoral process. Establishes a new Election Assistance Commission to oversee reform.

Ensuring Homeland Security, Protecting Our Borders and Children from Drugs and Crime

§ +$55.2 million (total of $2.527 billion) net increase over the enacted FY 2002 level for the Customs Services’ salaries and expenses.

§ +$11 million (total of $181.8 million) net increase over the FY 03 request for Customs Air and Marine Interdiction program in support of homeland security and the Western Hemisphere Drug Elimination Act.

§ +$7.5 million (total of $435 million) net increase over the enacted FY 2002 level for Customs Service Automation Modernization, including $313 million to continue modernization of the antiquated Automated Commercial System.

§ +$25 million (total of $171 million) net increase over the FY 03 request to fully fund training costs for new homeland security law enforcement personnel through the Federal Law Enforcement Training Center;

§ +$32 million (total of $873 million) net increase over the enacted FY 2002 level for the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco and Firearms.

§ +$3.8 million (total of $51.7 million) net increase over enacted FY 2002 level for the Financial Crimes Enforcement Network to implement USA PATRIOT Act programs to stop terrorist financing.

Other Provisions

§ +$20 million (total of $226.4 million) net increase over the FY 03 request for the High Intensity Drug Trafficking Areas program;

§ Includes a provision that prohibits funds in the bill from being used to issue regulations relating to the determination that real estate brokerage is an activity that is financial in nature or incidental to a financial activity.

Maintains current law requiring contraceptive coverage under the FEHBP under certain circumstances;
§ Maintains current law prohibition on the use of funds to pay for an abortion under the FEHBP except when the life of the mother is endangered or in the case of rape or incest;

VA-HUD
FY02 Bill (Discretionary): $95.41 billion
FY03 President’s Request (Discretionary): $93.4 billion
FY03 Conf. Report (Discretionary): $90.4 billion ($121.9 billion
including mandatory)
Taking Care of Veterans:

n Provides a $2.5 billion increase for Medical Care over last year, $1.1 billion over the President’s request. Total FY03 funding is $23.9 billion, plus receipt collections of $1.4 billion.

n Exempts VA Medical Care from any across-the-board rescission.

Funding For Space Programs:

n NASA funding is increased by $513 million over FY02, bringing FY03 funding to $15.4 billion, $414 million above the President’s request.

n $50 million is provided to NASA to investigate the recent Columbia tragedy and additional flexibility is provided to the Administrator to utilize resources where they are most appropriate.

Investing in Science and Technology Research:

n The National Science Foundation (NSF) is increased $536 million over last year’s level and $316 million over the budget request, bringing FY03 funding to $5.3 billion, the largest NSF budget ever. Funding includes: $4 billion for research; $150 million for research equipment and construction; and $909 million for education and human resources.

Addressing Critical Housing Needs:

· The Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD) is funded at a total program level of $36.3 billion, an increase of $1.8 billion over FY02, representing a net appropriation of $31.2, an increase of $1.2 billion over FY02.

· The Housing Certificate Fund is funded at $17.2 billion, a $1.6 billion increase over FY02 and provides the full amount necessary to ensure every family currently assisted by a Section 8 voucher continues to receive assistance; and provides PHAs flexibility to continue to increase the number of families assisted up to their authorized level.

· The President's new Downpayment Assistance Initiative is funded at $75,000,000 to enable 15,000 low income families become homeowners.

· The HOME program is funded at $1.93 billion, an increase of $129 million over FY02 to help States and localities increase the supply of affordable housing.

· Public Housing Operating Subsidies are funded at $3.6 billion, $105 million above FY02 and $70 million above the request.

· Housing for the nation’s elderly (Section 202) is funded at $783 million, the same as FY02 and $10 million above the President’s request.

· Disabled Housing (Section 811) is funded at $259 million, $16 million above FY02 and $9 million above the President’s request.

· Housing Opportunities for Persons with AIDS (HOPWA) is funded at the President’s request of $292 million, $14 million above last year.

· Homeless Assistance is funded at $1.23 billion, $102 million over FY02, including full funding for Shelter Plus Care renewals.

· Round II Empowerment Zones and Enterprise Communities are funded at $30 million.

Protecting the Environment:

n The Environmental Protection Agency is funded with an emphasis on state grants, particularly in the areas of clean water and safe drinking water.

n Provides $8.1 billion for the EPA, $511 million above the President’s request and $53 million over FY02.

n Superfund is funded at $1.3 billion, the same as FY02.

n Provides funding of $2.1 billion for Environmental Programs and Management, $64 million above the request and $57 million above FY02.

Other Items of Interest:

n The bill provides $429 million for the Corporation for National and Community Service, $27 million below FY02 and $202 million below the President’s request.

n The Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) is funded at 800 million for Disaster Relief.

n FEMA’s firefighting program is funded at $750 million.

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Prendo atto
by karlse Saturday, Apr. 05, 2003 at 8:10 AM mail:

di questo elogio della confusione. Di solito dal caos esce solo altro caos.
Per Rossana: hai visto i grafici che mostrano come la spesa militare è diminuita, non aumentata?
Se tu credi davvero che le spese militari servano da volano per l'economia, non ti viene il sospetto che i lavoratori di tutto il mondo sarebbero interessati alla loro espansione? E che quindi dovrebbero manifestare non contro gli Usa, ma perché la guerra infinita sia davvero infinita?

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per K.
by rossana Saturday, Apr. 05, 2003 at 8:38 AM mail:

tralascio qui le teorie sull'entropia e sull'irreversibilità. Mi limitito a ricordarti di Prigogine. Quanto alle spese militari: chi studia da decenni questo aspetto sa perfettamente che non è più scontato capirne la loro quantificazione leggendo i bilanci. Nel senso che non bisogna solo andare a cercarle in determinate voci. Quanto ai lavoratori che dovrebbero volerne gli aumenti, conosco bene qual'è l'andamento dell'intero ciclo della produzione bellica. E so perfettamente che all'aumento delle spese militari non corrisponde un aumento dell'occupazione. Anzi. L'Aerospace Industries Associazione degli Stati Uniti ha presentato un bilancio disastroso quanto a occupazione per il 2002. Il livello più basso dopo il '53 e su una media simile a quella che vi era negli anni 30. Quanto alla mia esperienza lavorativa, che vuoi che ti dica, dopo aver conosciuto l'ambiente militare e industriale, in quel luogo ho espresso fortemente il desiderio di diventare una "indiana". Ciao

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le spese belliche
by Trello hasaposervico Saturday, Apr. 05, 2003 at 8:59 AM mail:

sono diminuite.E' vero.Infatti la riconversione del sistema di difesa è ormai completata.Vedrai,però,quanto costeranno economicamente le alleanze a geometria variabile agli Usa.Queste alleanze,vere e proprie "Spade di Damocle", possono essere sostenute solo da un paese equilibrato,non da una nazione in preda a continue crisi di nervi.Perchè gli stati uniti,oggi,sono un Paese in preda ad un mostruoso esaurimento nervoso che comincia a degradare in patologia schizoide.E allora si comincia a ragionare così:


Dalla deposizione di Alfried Krupp al processo di Norimberga

"L'economia ha bisogno di uno sviluppo sano e progressivo. I partiti politici lottano fra loro nel disordine.
Noi della società Krupp non siamo idealisti,ma realisti.
Avemmo l'impressione che Hitler ci avrebbe dato la possibilità di un sano progresso e, del resto, egli lo fece.
Noi votammo dapprima per il partito popolare, ma era troppo debole.
Per governare la Germania in quegli anni c'era bisogno di una mano forte e dura, come quella di Hitler.
Dopo gli anni trascorsi sotto il suo governo, Noi ci sentiamo meglio.
Vogliamo un sistema che funzioni bene e che ci dia la possibilità di lavorare tranquillamente. Io affermo che ignoravo tutto dello sterminio degli ebrei: d'altra parte 'quando si compra un buon cavallo, non si fa caso ai suoi piccoli difetti'".


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Sono ottimista!
by BlackDeath Saturday, Apr. 05, 2003 at 11:53 PM mail:

Secondo me il colpo di grazia all'economia mondiale (ed anche a noi, purtroppo) glielo dara' il virus letale della SARS. Nonostante il blackout informativo, dovuto anche alla guerra in Irak, pare che in Canada - dove, inspiegabilmente, dopo HongKong, si e' molto diffusa la polmonite killer - stanno gia' al panico. Si esce poco di casa e con mascherina alla bocca. Se la malattia si comincia a diffondere in Usa ed in Europa, la contrazione dei consumi ed il blocco dell'attivita produttiva potrebbe avviare un circolo vizioso catastrofico. Beh peggio di cosi..

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